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Money Management Principles in Forex Trading (Part I)

Many forex traders start trading live too soon. They dont have any understanding and learning of good money management rules. As a forex trader, you need to develop a few good money management rules. Practice them on your demo account before starting live trading. By developing your own money management rules you are comfortable with means how much of your money you are willing to risk on one single trade. You also need to determine how many contracts per trade your risk tolerance allows?

The important question is how you can improve your investment results by making small changes to your trading strategies. Proper money management can be the difference between becoming a successful forex trader in the long run or an unsuccessful one who decimates his/her account in a few weeks.

Have you ever played poker? If you have, then rarely you will see good players put all their chips on a single bet. As a poker player, you know by risking only a small portion of your money on a single bet, you can win or lose but be still play the next hand. If you put everything on the table on a single bet, you have to be 100% sure of winning. An impossible thing, you can never be 100% right.

You must know that currency trading is far more complicated than playing poker. You will be dealing with hundreds and hundreds of unknown variables that affect the markets what to talk of only 52 cards. You must understand and implement good money management principles in order to succeed at forex trading.

There are many pitfalls that you will run across while trading. A trader is constantly under the pressure of two emotions; greed and fear. When you win a trade, you become greedy and want to risk more to win big. You want to strike it rich in a few trades. This drives you to take more and more risk.

In case you lose a trade, you will become fearful of risking your money on the next trade. Now, fear will take over and impair your decision making. Fear will make you lose confidence in your judgment and decision making. Lets see how fear and greed can impair your trading results.

Lets suppose you have a run of successful trades. You are feeling overconfident and you are not satisfied by risking only 2% of your account on a single trade. You want to risk more on the trade. The more you have in a trade, the more you will make if you are right. You increase your risk to 5%, you win. You increase it further to 10%, you once again win. You finally decide to put 25% of your equity at risk on a next trade, but misfortune strikes. Your successful run comes to an end. You lose.

Suppose you had a $100,000 trading account and you had foolishly risked 25% or $25,000 on one trade that you desperately wanted to win. Losing $25,000 means you have only $75,000 in your account now after your loss. How much you need to make to get back the original balance of $100,000; you need to make $25,000 again to go back to the original balance. It means you will have to make 25,000/75,000= 33%, so you risked 25% but now you will need to make 33% to get back your original amount.

Many investors once they lose a trade become desperate and try to risk more to recover their original loss. They end up losing more and more and very soon those investors destroy their accounts. Most of them are out of trading forever soon. There are other traders who try to reduce risk even more on making a losing trade; eventually they lose any opportunity for meaningful growth in their accounts.

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Summer Driving Tips in North America

Every summer, millions of people embark on driving vacations across North America. Before you hop in the car this summer, it is important to be aware of important aspects of summertime traveling in Canada and the United States. The following is a list of driving tips that will help make your North American driving experience both safe and enjoyable.

Car Rental: Often people will choose to rent a car because it safe and reliable. The size of the vehicle will affect your gas budget. Smaller cars tend to burn less gas. Larger vehicles will have more space for luggage and gear. Front wheel drive will safely transport you across most of North America, but some locations may have rougher terrain so before you rent, make sure you are aware of the type of roads you will be driving on. For instance, will you be driving in a mountainous area or flat paved road? Make sure seating is both comfortable and roomy. Small cramped seating will make the trip an unpleasant experience. If you are going to travel in the south, make sure you have air conditioning for the hot climate. If you have small children, music or even a television in the back will keep them occupied if you are on the road for long periods of time. Also, make sure you have both liability and collision insurance coverage. You never know when an accident may occur.

Road Side Emergency Kit: In the event that you find your self stranded on the side of the road, you should make sure that you have an emergency safety kit. Basic items to include in a kit are a pair of 12 ft jumper cables, road side flares, flashlight and extra batteries, extra quart of oil, first aid kit, tire pump, tire sealant or patch kit, brake fluid, antifreeze, window washer fluid, and some extra rags. You should also have a good Roadside Assistance package and a working cell phone for emergencies.

Follow the Rules of the Road: North American traffic can vary according to the volume of vehicles on the road. Practicing defensive driving is essential to a safe road trip. Driving in both the United States and Canada is greatly policed. You can receive fines or even have your drivers’ license taken away for breaking traffic rules. You must be ready for dangerous actions of other drivers or hazardous driving conditions. Obey all traffic rules such as speed limits, traffic lights, stop signs, and railway crossings.

Maintain Traffic Speed: A vehicle traveling slower than the speed limit may cause a car crash. When entering and exiting freeway ramps, make sure that you maintain an average speed. Keep a safe distance behind the car in front of you. If a car suddenly slammed on the breaks, it could result in a car accident.

Weather Conditions: Rain, fog, and slippery roads, can make for hazardous driving conditions. Make sure you practice safe driving when in bad weather. Use headlights when appropriate.

Alert Driving: If you are driving for many hours, you can often be overcome with extreme tiredness. If you are tired, stop for a rest, or get another passenger to drive. Falling asleep at the wheel can be fatal.

A Heavy Load or Trailer Tow: It is important to take precautions when driving with a heavy load or towing another car, trailer, or boat. You need more space to pass other vehicles. Keep a safe distance from the vehicle that is in front of you. Before you tow something, make sure that your vehicle is properly equipped. When traveling slower than the traffic, put on your hazard lights or pull over to let vehicles pass.

Every year vacationers travel long distances across North America. When planning a summer road trip, make sure that you are equipped with the right knowledge and equipment to make your trip safe, fun, and memorable.

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Fundamental Trading Strategy Based on Interest Rate Differentials

As a forex trader, you should be aware of the role played by the interest rate changes in the general economic and investment climate. You should know that interest rates are an essential part of investment decisions and can drive currency markets as well as the stock and commodities markets in either direction. After the unemployment figures, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) rate decisions are the second largest currency market moving release.

The impact of the interest rate changes not only have short term consequences but also have long term impact on the currency markets. One Central Banks decision can affect more than a single currency pair in the interconnected forex markets.

In currency trading, an interest rate differential is the difference between the base currency interest rate and the counter currency interest rate. In the pair, EUR/USD, EUR is the base currency and USD is the counter currency. The interest rate differential for the EUR/USD pair will be the difference between the Euro interest rate and the US Dollar interest rate.

Understanding the relationship between the interest rate differentials and the currency pairs can be very profitable for you as a forex trader. In addition to the Central Banks overnight interest rate decisions, expected future overnight rates as well the expected timing for the interest rate changes can be crucial to the currency pair movements.

The reason why it is profitable is that international investors like hedge funds, big banks and institutional investors are yield seekers. They actively keep on shifting funds from the low yield assets to high yield assets.

Interest rate differentials are considered to be the leading indicators for currency prices. London Inter Bank Offer Rate and the 10 year government bond yields are usually used as leading indicators of currency movements.

Lets take an example, suppose the Australian 10-year government bond yield is 5.25%. The US 10-year government bond yield is 1.75%. The yield spread in this case would be 350 basis points in favor of the Australian Dollar.

Suppose the Australian government raised its interest rate by 25 basis points. The 10 year Australian government bond yield would also appreciate to 5.50%. Now, the new yield spread is 375 basis points in favor of AUD. The AUD will also be expected to appreciate against USD.

The general rule of thumb used by professional traders is that when a yield spread increases in favor of a certain currency that currency is expected to appreciate against the other currency in the pair. This is important information for you as a trader. Interest rate data is available on Bloomberg. Keep track of the currencies in the currency pairs that you trade with that data.

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